Now that they have firmly established themselves in the transactional business with Google Checkout, is it feasible to believe they may wish to get even closer to the customer. Should we begin to consider the what ifs and if so, when?
With Google Checkout turning out to be a relatively big success, even challenging the likes of PayPal, might they be turning their attention to controlling the ENTIRE online shopping experience on the Internet merchant side? This would be monumental and create an enormous shift in the way business is conducted. At the very least, there will be a significant adoption rate, resulting in lost business to value hosting providers everywhere. True to Google form, they could feasibly waive costs (for a period of time) to gain market share and change the economy hosting industry overnight.
Amazon just may have already done this with their Simple Storage Service. This is the model Google is using in the payments side of the business with Google Checkout, and online payment service providers have been forced to offer better services like fraud protection, loss prevention and PCI compliance just to stay competitive.
For instance, we at InternetMerchant.com focus on niche, servicing small-to-medium-sized etailers with a suite of products that are cutting edge, but eventually will be mainstream. All this will occur before the likes of PayPal, or Google could implement on a broad scale. Fact is, the big guys cannot be all things to all people, so they need to stay somewhat generic to reach the masses. Therein lies our opportunity to differentiate and beat them at their own game. While they can play in all markets, like hosting, we need to continue to find the vertical market products and services they simply cannot compete with.
It only takes a small, well-placed stone to take down a giant. Choose your weapons carefully and solely based on what do YOUR customers really want/need? The more a hosting company can be unique by providing value, as well as specialty, niche tools, the more firmly established it can become and remain.
The impact on the hosting industry of a Google entry would be dramatic. Google would take, over time. Hosting companies need to realize now that the days of vanilla hosting are over. The successful hosting company will partner quickly and deeply with Google and offer traffic and revenue to their clients. Those that fail to do this will find it increasingly challenging to compete.
I do think that there is an end in sight for generic web hosting, especially as consumers decide they'd rather have a myspace page versus their own website or their website is a specific application, i.e. the most common one being a blog. I think hosting companies need to move upstream into richer pastures.
-matt