GoDaddy vs Digg: Trouble Ahead for Web Hosts and Resellers?

Tags:  shared hosting  Amazon 

A few days ago, a GoDaddy customer lobbied to put his site on the front page of Digg. He said it was an experiment to see how well his shared hosting plan could handle a traffic spike. Some called his blog post a publicity stunt, others complained that he was inconsiderate of other customers on the same server. The fact was, his visitors got a "service unavailable" error.

In GoDaddy's defense, many other customers reported that their sites have survived multiple waves of flash crowds from Digg. That's great news - for now.

But Dan Golding from Tier 1 Research predicts that the volume of Internet traffic will continue doubling annually. Attention seekers will have the potential of attracting ever-larger audiences for their 15 minutes of fame. And web hosts will see higher and more frequent traffic spikes on their networks.

If you're a large provider who operates your own data centers, your primary concern will be cost. Your customers' aggregate bandwidth consumption will inevitably rise, and you may have to provision additional GigEs to accommodate all the simultaneous spikes. Unfortunately, thanks to oversold bandwidth limits, your additional expenses may not be offset by increased revenue.

If you're a reseller who runs your business on leased servers, you may be in bigger trouble. All of your competitors offer 1000+ GB of data transfer for $5 or $10 hosting plans. You've got to keep up, but your own bandwidth allowance is only 1000 GB for a whole $99 server. As your customers' traffic grows - and as they become increasing savvy at getting themselves Digged and Slashdotted - you face ever greater risks of being stuck with your hosting provider's hefty overage fee.

So what's the solution? Should you consider Amazon.com's no overselling, pay by the GB pricing scheme? Switch to an ad-based model in which more traffic equals more revenue? Encourage customers to offload traffic through CoralCDN or other free P2P services? Because if Internet traffic is doubling, sooner rather than later, you'll have to do something.

One of the Web hosting industry's longest-standing citizens, Isabel Wang is also a high-tech enthusiast. Through her WHIR blog, she examines the impact emerging Web technologies will have on the Web hosting business, and on the motivations of hosting consumers. Isabel has been in the web hosting ... (Read full bio)

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Comment by Anonymous on Monday, October 09, 2006

Isabel, to further your ad-based revenue model comments, I just got my eMarketer Daily newsletter that references a report from In-Stat about user-generated revenue, with the bulk of the revenue coming from, of course, advertising:

"A new report from In-Stat asserts that over the next several years user-generated content (UGC) will boost Website revenue, mainly from advertising. "
http://www.emarketer.com/Article.aspx?1004192

Comment by Anonymous on Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Two things. First of all, increases in traffic will force providers, big and small, to reassess overselling amounts and strategies. I have no problem with this. I think it will actually be good for the industry - not that overselling is necessarily a bad thing, but it will need to be tempered and done more conscientiously. But the root answer here lies as much with the developers as with the hosts. The savvy developer will win the day by using more efficient development practices. I've seen sites decrease in size by 90-95% and with no loss in quality whatsoever, because someone stepped in and reengineered things properly. We had a customer go up on Dig and Slashdot the same day they were featured in the Wall Street Journal, NY Times, Washington Post and 40 affiliate papers (there was a very focused marketing effort surrounding the launch), and the total transfer for the next seven days was less than 10 Gb.

When it comes to this question, I don't think the Web site creator and Web site hoster can be separated. Looking at the problem holistically, I don't think you want to separate the two, because the salvation of one rests in the hands of both.

Comment by Anonymous on Tuesday, October 10, 2006

That's a really interesting point, Paul! So maybe web hosts need to build up in-house design/development expertise - or forge partnerships with companies that have such skills. Instead of telling customers "you've used up too much bandwidth; here's your overage bill", maybe the message should be "we can help minimize bandwidth expenses without compromising your site's current look and feel"?

Comment by Anonymous on Thursday, October 12, 2006

It is, in my humble opinion, always better to send a positive message than a negative one. While certainly such services come at a price, the degree to which traffic increases is the degree to which hosting costs may increase for the consumer, which as you've shown, can be quite significant. A little foresight goes a long way. That's just on the hosting technology side. This type of message also talks to the visitor, serving up content faster, and generally pushing out a site that is much better optimized for search engines and visitors with disabilities. Done right, it's a lovely and far reaching domino effect!

OLDER: These Numbers Make Me Dizzy | NEWER: HTML 5: the next generation, or largely a pointless effort?